Just thought I'd having a go at analysing some trends for today's top class racing. After trawling through the stats for the Betfair Chase at Ascot I couldn't find anything worthwhile so I turned my attention towards the 13:55 Haydock Blue Square Gold Cup Chase instead.The first thing I noticed was that Head Gear is not conducive to winning and not one animal has crossed the line 1st wearing headgear in the last 10 years. Secondly it was very advantageous to back anything that finished 1st second or third last time out. Ground worse than good was also an advantage for the runners still inside our grouping and I suspect that because of this back markers would find it hard to catch the winner. Therefore only horses that are likely to be prominent or likely to lead or maybe to make all should be considered (taken out all runners that were back markers in their last race). Nothing outside the top 8 in the betting has won in the last 10 years either.
Who are the likely winners given the stats?
O.k. here we go: Mon Mome win and place (currently 12/1) and an outsider to place: Eric's Charm currently trading at 40/1 (win price) with the bookies and 4 places will pay out with it being a 16 runner handicap.
Wish me luck.
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